Multiphase enhanced computed tomography features captured by delta radiomics reveal prognosis and tumor heterogeneity in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial chemoembolization
Zhong-Qi Sun, Dong-Min Liu, Lei Yang, Kai Zhao, Hao Jiang, Sheng Zhao, Jin-Ping Li, Hui-Jie JiangHepatobiliary Pancreat Dis Int. 2026 May 28:S1499-3872(26)00083-4. doi: 10.1016/j.hbpd.2026.05.007. Online ahead of print.
Abstract
Background: Although transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a widely used locoregional therapy for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there is substantial inter-patient heterogeneity in treatment response. This study aimed to develop a delta radiomic model based on pre-treatment enhanced computed tomography (CT) to predict the prognosis of HCC patients undergoing TACE and to reveal tumor heterogeneity.
Methods: A total of 269 patients treated with TACE between January 2016 and June 2020 were enrolled from two medical centers and divided into three cohorts: a training cohort (n = 126), an internal validation cohort (n = 84), an external test cohort (n = 59). Radiological features of the tumor area were extracted on multiple phases of CT before treatment, and progression-free survival (PFS) was predicted through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox (LASSO-Cox) regression algorithm. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier curve. Genetic and tumor microenvironment differences related to the prognosis of TACE were analyzed in 23 patients with CT from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Single-cell data from the comprehensive Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) public database were used to explore the expression of different genes in cells.
Results: The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the delta radiomic model for predicting 2-year PFS in TACE-treated patients were 0.812, 0.720, and 0.807 in the training, internal validation, and external test cohorts, respectively. The Rad-score was calculated based on radiomic features selected through LASSO. The Rad-score stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups, with significant differences in OS across all cohorts. The high-risk group had a higher immune score. It is worth noting that in the immune infiltration analysis, there were significant differences in B cells, resting CD4 memory T cells, active natural killer cells, and mast cells among different risk groups.
Conclusions: The delta radiomics model based on multiphase enhanced CT accurately predicts prognosis and reflects tumor heterogeneity in HCC patients treated with TACE, and contributes to treatment planning.